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The Young Kids Are Killing It – Part 1 of a Statistical Look at the Wings

I love stats.  I think they’re very interesting and can clue you into things that you might not realize simply by watching the game.

Of course, unlike some idiots that have a blog over at KuklasKorner that’s as interesting as hearing an actuary’s life story, I know that stats don’t tell the whole tale.  But they can certainly clue us into things that we might not notice or back up feelings that we might have. 

So let’s take a look at Detroit using advanced stats over at behindthenet.ca.  Get ready, because it reveals some interesting stuff.

Everyone’s probably heard of Corsi, but if you haven’t Corsi is essentially a plus-minus statistic that measures shot attempts.  You get a point for a shot attempt at the opponents net, but lose one if the opponent attempts a shot.  This can give you an idea of possession of the puck without that pesky save-percentage stat getting in the way (as it does in +/-).  This of course is not an end all be all of stats, but it’s interesting.  To get a little more insight, I wanted to look at the Relative Corsi Number, which equals the Corsi Number of player per/60 minutes – Corsi Number of Team when player not on ice per 60/minutes.  So a player with a 5 Corsi Relative number is saying that for every 60 minutes that that player plays 5 on 5 versus every 60 minutes that he doesn't play, the team will be better off by a net 5 shots attempted. 

So let’s look at the best players on Detroit during 5 on 5 play.

NAME

POS

Corsi Relative

JOAKIMANDERSSON

C

32.8

JAKUBKINDL

D

25.6

TOMASTATAR

C

22.3

TODDBERTUZZI

LW

13.7

PAVELDATSYUK

C

13.4

VALTTERIFILPPULA

C

9.5

KYLEQUINCEY

D

5.5

DANIELCLEARY

RW

4.5

PATRICKEAVES

RW

3

We can all agree that Tatar and Andersson have looked good during their call-up with the Wings, but now we have the stats to back it up.    That’s an amazing difference – 32.8 more shots per game if Andersson was on the ice.  Now remember, this doesn’t take into account the fact that they are playing against the third and fourth lines (in fact, the quality of competition that Andersson and Tatar has faced was the easiest on the team) and Datysuk isn’t, but still, that means that they are dominating during their time on ice. 

Hit the jump for more of a look on who's dominating and failing. 

Kindl being included is also impressive.  I actually have thought he’s been solid all year outside of some terrible penalties.   And bonus to Datsyuk for still be included despite playing against the best.  You just can’t stop him.

Who’s been the worst on Detroit? Some familiar faces. 

NAME

POS

Corsi Relative

CORYEMMERTON

C

-20.6

ANDREWMILLER

LW

-19.7

JORDINTOOTOO

RW

-15.3

KENTHUSKINS

D

-12.1

BRIANLASHOFF

D

-11.9

JOHANFRANZEN

RW

-5.1

NIKLASKRONWALL

D

-4.6

 

I think Emmerton’s done better lately, but I’ve always maintained that he was a replaceable NHL’er at best.  I can never understand how he keeps a lineup position.    And everyone’s been happy with Miller, especially Babcock, but I’ve never understood why. He has some offensive talent, but he’s slow and a bit of a liability on defense and isn’t a grinder.  Tootoo is also on the list, but he’s talent is more than just offensive and defensive production, so I give him a pass here. 

Lashoff, Franzen and Kronwall are included on this list, but that’s because they’ve played against the best players.  Now, that isn’t an excuse, but Lashoff playing on the #1 pairing is over his head and its showing.  Unfortunately, that might be true for Kronwall as well (at least defensively). 

Finally, Corsi doesn’t take into account quality of scoring chances, nor actual goals, so let’s glance at +/- per 60 minutes as well.   Here’s the best:

NAME

POS

+- On/60

JAKUBKINDL

D

2.9

TODDBERTUZZI

LW

2.12

JOAKIMANDERSSON

C

2.11

KYLEQUINCEY

D

1.82

PATRICKEAVES

RW

1.76

JOHANFRANZEN

RW

1.58

PAVELDATSYUK

C

1.51

JONATHANERICSSON

D

1.34

BRENDANSMITH

D

1.16

HENRIKZETTERBERG

C

0.91

 
Kindl again leads the way, with Big Bert again showing up on the positive end of things.   Shows also that Ericsson is really holding his own as the #2 this season and that Quincey is doing a billion quadrillion times better now as compared to the first, oh, five games when he was the worst player in NHL history. 

Speaking of the worst, here they are:

NAME

POS

+- On/60

KENTHUSKINS

D

-1.27

JUSTINABDELKADER

C

-1.12

DANIELCLEARY

RW

-1.07

BRIANLASHOFF

D

-0.79

IANWHITE

D

-0.75

NIKLASKRONWALL

D

-0.39

ANDREWMILLER

LW

-0.31

 
You again see Lashoff and Miller on there, a sign that they been outplayed.  I still haven’t had a chance to determine my feelings on Huskins, but what I’ve seen so far from this is that Kindl should be playing over Huskins any day of the week.  

And finally, Abdelkader.  Second worst on the team, despite playing with Datysuk for the past week (he previously was the worst forward regarding corsi stats until he moved up to Datsyuk’s line).  I have no idea why the team is so high on the curly haired paleface, but Babcock clearly has a halfie for him despite the fact that he’s a grinding forward who isn’t that fast, barely grinds, a crap fighter and has bricks for hands. 

So what have we learned?  Well, Kindl has been playing great, so have Tatar and Andersson.  Lashoff is a decent player, but is playing over his head so far talentwise.  Miller is getting outplayed bad and Abdelkader barely deserves a position on team, let alone the second line. 

I’ll have another post regarding special teams here soon.  For now, your thoughts? 

 

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